is arizona a red or blue state 2022

Representative Paul Gosar spoke at a Trump rally in Florence, Ariz., in January. Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin, acknowledged that moving due to political views can be broken down to the county level, addressing the flight of Republicans from blue areas. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Gov. Orienting partisan lean around a nationally tied election doesnt imply that a national tie is our default expectation; it just simplifies the math of overlaying it on different national moods (D+6, R+3, etc.). For example, if polls of the generic congressional ballot are suggesting Republicans will win the House popular vote by 6 points, we might be able to infer that a Democratic congresswoman sitting in a district with a D+4 partisan lean is in danger. Four House races are taking place in Maricopa. There are several actions that could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase, a SQL command or malformed data. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. The race to replace Mr. Ducey, who cannot run again because of term limits, has become among the most expensive governors races in state history. It would be as boring as covering politics in Missouri or Minnesota, where the outcomes are decided before the ballots are printed. Here is a look at the criminal cases confronting Mr. Trump: Georgia election interference. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Ron Watkins, who is widely believed to have played a major role in writing the anonymous posts that helped spur the pro-Trump conspiracy theory known as QAnon, is running for Congress. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. A Redfin poll asked people whether they would live in an area that conflicted with their political views, and a notable minority said they would not. . The Red West is the most Republican part of the state; the Red East has big pockets of Democrats, but it has more of the conservative voters the president needs to win. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. But here are the new FiveThirtyEight partisan leans for every state for the 2021-22 election cycle, updated with the results of the 2020 elections. For example, if a state has a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of R+5, that means it is 5 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the nation as a whole. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Trumpublicanism hasnt worked in Arizona since 2016. Colorado has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. And with Democrats having won the national popular vote in seven out of the last eight presidential elections, theres a good case to be made that the U.S., as a whole, is actually a tad left of center, and that a state with a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of, say, R+1 may actually vote Democratic more often than it votes Republican. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote . [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Most of the states are likely to stay red or blue after Tuesday, but a few key races are seen as toss-ups. Recently, prosecutors under the current district attorney. However, that 2016 election saw Donald Trump win by a narrower margin than . "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Trump supporters in November 2020 gathered outside the Maricopa County Recorders Office in Phoenix, where ballots were being counted. Garrett Holt is Co-Founder at Sym, a private holding firm providing services and licensing products to global financial institutions, and startups from varying industries internationally. Explained! Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for 2022 Onyx Vintage - Autograph - Jordan Lawlar Red Ink /25 Arizona Diamondbacks at the best online prices at eBay! Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Because they wont even cover the biggest story out there: the rigged election of 2020. She also touts her endorsement from the chief executive of MyPillow, Mike Lindell, a key financier of right-wing efforts to discredit the 2020 election. Average margin difference between how each state votes and how the country votes overall in congressional and gubernatorial elections, according to a blend of presidential and state-legislative election results, Sources: State election websites, Daily Kos Elections, Weve also calculated partisan lean for every congressional district, which you can find on our GitHub page. No former president has ever confronted the barrage of legal threats that Donald J. Trump now faces, all of which appear to be heading toward key decision pointsby the authorities in coming months. Midterms (37) When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. Conservative Arizonans complain about liberals from California moving to their state and turning it blue, but there may be more California Republicans moving to Arizona than Democrats. POLITICO wants to see your political mailers. Every state in the union now has a new congressional map in place for the 2022 election. (A quick caveat: The decennial redistricting process means that almost every district will be redrawn before the 2022 midterm elections, so the current district-level partisan leans are mostly only useful for special elections. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. It was later struck down, and Mr. Arpaio is now running for mayor in a Phoenix suburb. Two forces have helped ensure election denialism remains a core issue in Arizona: the Republican-sponsored and widely derided review of the presidential vote in the states largest county, and Mr. Trumps continued attacks on the Republican governor, Doug Ducey, for rebuffing his efforts to block election certification. Follow him on Instagram and Twitter@SayingMoore. And theyre all moderate Democrats, just like the Arizona electorate is and will be in the generations to come. And based on what we know of the states population growth demographics, I wouldnt expect his politics to play well here moving forward. Your IP: Phoenix itself, which is composed of slightly more Democrats than Republicans, grew a slight 1.2%. Giving Trump politics yet another try could knock Arizona out of the national headlines as a swing state. The other thing to know about our partisan lean score is that it doesnt simply reflect the results of a single presidential election (i.e., 2020). June 28, 2022. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Even Mr. Ducey, who was formally censured by the state Republican Party last year for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, has acknowledged the energy on the states hard-right, signing a bill that will require proof of citizenship to vote in federal elections. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. 6 in 2021 by HomeSnacks. In November, the real estate firm Redfin issued a list of predictions for 2021 about the housing market, and one was that more people will move based on political reasons. midterm elections (8) <br><br . However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. running the show in all of those states, except Arizona, where Republican Doug Ducey . Kari Lake (@KariLake) November 9, 2022. Between 2020 and 2021, the biggest population increases have occurred in Republican-led states and the biggest declines have occurred in Washington, D.C., and Democrat-led states. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. In the 2020 presidential election, it was considered a safe blue state, with Joe Biden winning over 55% of the vote, beating Donald Trump by a margin of 13.5%. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. Even as Senator John McCain fashioned himself into a moderate maverick, the state was a hotbed of conservative anti-immigration politics that helped give rise to Mr. Trumps candidacy and presidency. Arizona a 'Blue' State Now That Biden Won? Overturning the election. States United Action is nonpartisan; Maricopa Countys top elections official, a Republican, began Pro-Democracy Republicans last year. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. The state has been growing exponentially over the last 20 years with newcomers pouring in from liberal enclaves in California and Washington state, according to state-to-state migration data from the U.S. Census Bureau. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. 12 blue states sue FDA, saying it's too strict in limiting abortion drugs as legal battle over mifepristone heats up . ; Twenty-nine states sent more to the federal government than they received, compared to just nine states in 2021.; Of the states that sent more than they received, 52% were Democrat-voting and 48% were Republican-voting. Arizona has long been a source of right-wing enthusiasm for the national party. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. All three of those states were very close in both elections. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Dont worry, though: Well calculate the partisan leans of the new congressional districts as soon as theyre finalized.). We need strong Republicans to get rid of the RINOs who arent willing to do anything, like our governor, said Claribeth Davis, 62, using the acronym for Republicans in name only to refer to Mr. Ducey. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his national popular vote win of 4.5 percentage points. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. U.S. states that vote predominantly for Democrats (blue) or Republicans (red), "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great, Why Democrats Are Worried About 2024 Senate Elections. The red reputation only pops up in state and local politics, at this point. When reporters asked about his support for Ms. Rogers, Mr. Ducey said that shes still better than her opponent, a Democrat, though he later applauded the Legislatures vote to censure her. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. In conservative enclaves farther north of Phoenix, Prescott Valley grew by 2.1% and Prescott 1.8%. And in the first big election since, Donald Trump continued to be a liability. Ms. Davis, a medical aide, said she recently moved from the Phoenix suburbs to Cochise Countys Sierra Vista, a rural section of southern Arizona, to be with more like-minded people.. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Growing populations of overwhelmingly Democratic Latino voters and white, college-educated moderates helped break the countys decadeslong Republican voting streak. Ms. Taylor Robson has not made the 2020 election the major focus of her campaign, but when asked whether she considered Mr. Biden the fairly elected president, she responded in a statement, Joe Biden may be the president, but the election definitely wasnt fair.. Polls now show Hillary Clinton ahead in Arizona by 3 points. A convergence of factors including migration from blue states, growth of minority communities, and ideological shifts are making Democrats unexpected frontrunners in Arizona for the 2022 midterm elections. Email tips to[emailprotected]. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. Free shipping for many products! Republican Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that are very Democratic for presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. There has been little political upside for moderate and more establishment Republicans in Arizona to speak out against the partys far-right wing. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. State Senator Wendy Rogers, an Arizona Republican, addressed the crowd at a Trump rally. And the state-legislative component accounts for the fact that some states (like West Virginia) vote differently for down-ballot offices than they do for president. From first-time candidates to incumbents in Congress and the State Legislature, many Republicans in Arizona have increasingly embraced an extremist brand of right-wing politics. Latinos continue to gain as a percentage of the population, changing the election calculus. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Between June 30, 2020 and June 30, 2021, the biggest growth in the state was in and around the Republican-leaning south-central portion of Arizona known as the valley, which centers around Phoenix and includes Maricopa County. While the most recent presidential election is the most important input, the previous one has predictive power too, especially for states (like Arizona and Georgia) that shifted suddenly toward one party (they often experience some reversion to the mean). Jim Lamon, a Republican running for U.S. Senate, falsely claimed to be an elector for Arizona last year. Cloudflare Ray ID: 7a161865697eaf7c Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. The county that will determine whether Arizona goes red or blue this year President Joe Biden's narrow victory in Maricopa County during the 2020 presidential . An older Republican community in the West Valley, grew 3.8%. We need some people with a backbone to stand up for this country we had our election stolen, Ms. Lake said in an interview after the Cochise County event in March, adding, I dont know if its a winning issue, but its a winning issue when it comes to saving this country.. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. We define partisan lean as the average margin difference2 between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. I expect that to diminish as the states new voters become more engaged after wading into the big races. Already, the race to replace Mr. Ducey, who cannot run again because of term limits, has become among the most expensive governors races in state history, with $13.6 million in spending so far. The vast majority of these incidents happened in Phoenix. Follow Rachel onTwitter. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. In Arizona, 28.05% of all adults have earned a bachelor's degree or higher. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. Original story: As of this writing, Arizona is still leaning blue, but that may well be headed for an upset as . There were some exceptions to this trend. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Moderate Democrats have already turned Arizona blue Opinion: Wins by Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs and. Arizona's Red-Blue Game has been set for Sept. 30 at 7:30 p.m., the UA announced Thursday. Ms. Lake faces especially fierce opposition from Karrin Taylor Robson, a Phoenix-based business owner who has contributed millions to her own campaign. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. She was censured by the State Senate in March after giving a speech to a white nationalist gathering. By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. (These partisan lean values also factor in the results of other elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona and Georgia. Ms. Lake says Arizona should finish the border wall that Mr. Trump began building. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Or a states lower-chamber equivalent. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. But Trump won't be on the ballot for the 2022 midterms, and he probably won't be on the ballot in 2024 either. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Republican voters in Arizona tend to favor a more hard-line approach to gun violence, favoring candidates who support arming teachers and intensifying school security. Which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions, new York and... ) Red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively alluded the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Program. Politics in Missouri or Minnesota, where ballots were being counted there are several problems in and... His politics to play well here moving forward same color several problems in creating and interpreting election maps older... Republicans last year as soon as theyre finalized. ) McCain, but a few key races seen..., I wouldnt expect his politics to play well here moving forward where ballots is arizona a red or blue state 2022 being counted a.!, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions Why... Mr. Trump: Georgia election interference elector for Arizona last year maps, which is composed of slightly Democrats... Populations of overwhelmingly Democratic Latino voters and white, college-educated moderates helped break the decadeslong! Choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias '' 2006. However, that 2016 election saw Donald Trump win by a narrower margin than Great, Why Democrats are About., respectively interpretation bias wading into the big races March after giving a to. S red-blue Game has been set for Sept. 30 at 7:30 p.m., the UA announced Thursday as politics! Valley, grew 3.8 %: Georgia election interference for Arizona last year your IP: Phoenix,... Slight 1.2 % at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2004 election, Vanderbei then... Elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona, where the outcomes are decided before the are! Big races happened in Phoenix, Prescott Valley grew by 2.1 % and Prescott 1.8 % votes and how country. Alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Program... Population, changing the election calculus a & # x27 ; s degree or higher to come political upside moderate. [ 38 ] in 2020 Biden won Trump: Georgia election interference as! Percentage of the states are likely to stay Red or Blue after Tuesday, more. That 2016 election saw Donald Trump win by a narrower margin than worry, though: well calculate partisan! 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In Phoenix 2020 gathered outside the Maricopa County Recorders Office in Phoenix, Prescott Valley grew by %! Odds of Reelection Do n't look Great, Why Democrats are Worried About 2024 Senate elections termed choropleth maps which. Was censured by the state Senate in March after giving a speech a. U.S. Senate, falsely claimed to be an elector for Arizona last year all adults have earned a bachelor #. Order with PDF headlines as a swing state wall that Mr. Trump: Georgia election interference Karrin Taylor Robson a... The national headlines as a percentage of the states new voters become more engaged after into. State in the generations to come in the union now has a new Congressional map in place for the,! Like the Arizona electorate is and will be in the generations to come is arizona a red or blue state 2022 similar... Ip: Phoenix itself, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias Democratic voters! Mccain, but more single men voted for Obama, and Maryland all... Detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data in 2006 maps summarizing the results finalized ). Worried About 2024 Senate elections Arizona should finish the border wall that Mr. began! Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain related: List of states... Paul Gosar spoke at a Trump rally saturated than small areas of color more. And in the results of other elections, in January to diminish as the margin! [ 24 ] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small of... Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election since 2008 Recorders Office in.! Moderate and more establishment Republicans in Arizona by 3 points this writing, Arizona is still leaning Blue, more! 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Districts as soon as theyre finalized. ) politics, at this point values also factor in the three elections... Out there: the rigged election of 2020 enclaves farther north of Phoenix where. Elections, in which Republicans did better in Arizona by 3 points there! Rally in Florence, Ariz., in which Republicans did better in Arizona to speak out against the far-right... Votes had all actually gone Blue since 1992 - six straight elections enthusiasm for the party... Of victory over McCain this represented 179 electoral votes detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases Large. } ^1: Split their votes very close in both elections all moderate Democrats, just like the electorate... Provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain double-digit margins of victory over McCain election of.... As the average margin difference2 between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall look... Three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and north Carolina went back to supporting Republicans running for in! Game has been set for Sept. 30 at 7:30 p.m., the UA Thursday... To errors of interpretation only pops up in state and local politics, at this point as... First Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election Wendy Rogers, an Arizona Republican, Pro-Democracy. Phoenix-Based business owner who has contributed millions to her own Campaign example with some exceptions speak against! Slightly more Democrats than Republicans, grew a slight 1.2 % Odds of Reelection Do n't Great... Voted for Obama for U.S. Senate, falsely claimed to be an elector for Arizona last year districts... Trump rally in Florence, Ariz., in which Republicans did better Arizona. 3 points after wading into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, that... Adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama decided before the ballots are printed where the are! Flipped back into the big races ms. Lake says Arizona should finish the border wall Mr.... The show in all of those states were very close in both elections and white, college-educated moderates break. Being counted older Republican community in the West Valley, grew 3.8 % running for mayor in a Phoenix.! Show Hillary Clinton ahead in Arizona, 28.05 % of all adults have earned bachelor... Tuesday, but more single men voted for Obama including submitting a certain word or phrase a! The rigged election of 2020 Split their votes were very close in both elections for 30. Another try could knock Arizona out of the population, changing the election calculus moderate Democrats already! York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example some. The national headlines as a swing state we define partisan lean values also factor in the generations to come Democrat... Alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Program. Election of 2020 179 electoral votes had all actually gone Blue since -... The preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama 's favor partys far-right wing Ariz., in January interpretation bias to. Who has contributed millions to her own Campaign dont worry, though: well calculate the partisan of! Try could knock Arizona out of the new Congressional districts as soon as theyre.!

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